Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001084 0.001122 0.001161 0.001203 0.001248 0.001295 0.001347
2025-08-31 0.001030 0.001087 0.001148 0.001216 0.001292 0.001373 0.001468
2025-09-07 0.000982 0.001053 0.001129 0.001218 0.001320 0.001433 0.001570
2025-09-14 0.000934 0.001014 0.001101 0.001206 0.001329 0.001470 0.001647
2025-09-21 0.000892 0.000978 0.001073 0.001190 0.001330 0.001495 0.001709
2025-09-28 0.000860 0.000951 0.001054 0.001182 0.001338 0.001528 0.001779
2025-10-05 0.000817 0.000908 0.001014 0.001146 0.001310 0.001512 0.001786
2025-10-12 0.000793 0.000887 0.000997 0.001137 0.001314 0.001536 0.001845
2025-10-19 0.000776 0.000874 0.000989 0.001138 0.001329 0.001574 0.001924
2025-10-26 0.000755 0.000855 0.000974 0.001128 0.001330 0.001593 0.001978
2025-11-02 0.000742 0.000844 0.000967 0.001130 0.001345 0.001630 0.002058
2025-11-09 0.000726 0.000830 0.000956 0.001124 0.001349 0.001653 0.002120
2025-11-16 0.000708 0.000813 0.000941 0.001113 0.001347 0.001668 0.002170
2025-11-23 0.000703 0.000812 0.000946 0.001129 0.001382 0.001736 0.002309
2025-11-30 0.000693 0.000804 0.000942 0.001133 0.001400 0.001781 0.002415
2025-12-07 0.000678 0.000790 0.000929 0.001124 0.001399 0.001797 0.002474
2025-12-14 0.000663 0.000774 0.000914 0.001110 0.001391 0.001802 0.002515
2025-12-21 0.000650 0.000762 0.000903 0.001103 0.001391 0.001820 0.002579
2025-12-28 0.000629 0.000737 0.000875 0.001071 0.001354 0.001778 0.002533
2026-01-04 0.000618 0.000726 0.000865 0.001063 0.001353 0.001791 0.002588
2026-01-11 0.000610 0.000720 0.000861 0.001064 0.001364 0.001825 0.002683
2026-01-18 0.000600 0.000709 0.000851 0.001055 0.001360 0.001835 0.002734
2026-01-25 0.000593 0.000704 0.000847 0.001057 0.001372 0.001870 0.002835